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by Finage at August 5, 2023 • 4 MIN READ
Stocks
The stock market exchange is one of the most volatile in trading. However, you can see it as a great way of making a fast profit. Making the right decisions can make a huge difference between losses and big wins. For this particular reason, having an idea of what could happen or a close prediction of events is important. It makes it easier for investors to make their best guesses.
But every year there are many surprises. For instance, the last three months of the year have shown a poor performance for most stocks. Those who were able to predict this had a better chance of gaining an upper hand. So what are some things that you can expect in the next year? Will things take a downward trend or is it going to be a great year with uprising events for investors?
- Market description
- Factors influencing market prices
- Inflation
- Investor mentality
- Interest rates
- FED reserve
- Economic state
- Final thoughts
The downward trend for some stocks such as the US Markets has been a problem for many. The worry for most investors is whether this will continue into 2024. The biggest issue is that the decline is not limited to only this stock. Others have shown a downward trend.
This includes technology stocks which have gone down in the last three months. For instance, Tesla has had a decline of 13.2 % during October. Furthermore, Apple.Inc. also saw a decline in sales of 1% from the previous year. The question is what led to such drops and could this occur again?
Certain factors can show which direction stock prices will take. Here are some things to consider as the year reaches its end:
The inflation rates were high. For example, an increase of 3.7% in August 2023 affected the rates significantly. This is an increase from the desired target. That is the only way to have an influence on the interest rates that the Fed reserve applies.
Inflation rates are still high. This means that the Federal Reserve is most likely going to keep interest rates high. This will force the prices of stocks upwards. Despite this, many investors are hopeful that the rate won't be as high to promote market growth. Some expect the rate to reduce by the second quarter of 2024.
The sentiments of investors play a huge role in the value of stocks. This is regardless of what the inflation or interest rates are. When they see things taking a downward trend, many tend to shy away from buying new stocks. This affects market values, as stocks become less desirable.
When traders are willing to make exchanges, the value goes high because of an increase in demand. As there are more risks currently, many will turn towards safe investments. Although corporate earnings have remained stable, demand is falling behind. The reduced demand means less value on the market. Many are likely to invest in long-term stocks. Other things investors will consider are:
- Volatility
- Economic growth
- Market returns
Interest rates play a huge role in the prices of stocks. Keep in mind that the interest rates are going to remain high for the foreseeable future. Whether this is below the current levels is still unclear. There is an increase in the consumption of goods. So there is a chance of seeing a slight improvement before the end of the first quarter of 2024.
The main body that handles the interest rates is the Federal Reserve. Over the past two years, it has kept interest rates high to regulate inflation. There is likely to be an increase at some point in 2024. There has been a rise in the employment rates. This may influence the decision the Fed makes towards the end of the year.
The US economy had a significant improvement in 2023. The US economy increased by 2.1% in the 3rd quarter of the year. Despite this, there are signs that investors should expect a recession in 2024. This may also lead to high volatility of stocks especially in those involving tech.
Another sign that may cause volatility is the 2024 presidential race. Other factors affecting the economic state include:
- Rise in accommodation costs
- Cost of Energy
- Employment rates
- Political influence
As the new year approaches, many traders are wondering what it will bring. With so many factors influencing the stock markets, planning is important. The most important question for investors is what they should do. The best direction to take is to remain calm and continue your research and learning the markets, including checking the shared outlooks on the stock market. Investors want to maintain stable stocks. While some stocks have remained stable, others have declined.
The best thing as history has shown is that even when markets fall they always rebound. So despite the downward trend at the end of 2023, things are bound to improve by the middle of 2024. According to experts, investors should expect a bull market in the coming year. The key is to keep up with the trends to make quick and profitable investment decisions.
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